“Joseph Plazo on Why Algorithms Still Need Human Judgment”“Machines Can Trade. But Can They Govern?”
“Joseph Plazo on Why Algorithms Still Need Human Judgment”“Machines Can Trade. But Can They Govern?”
Blog Article
At a recent event hosted by the Asian Institute of Management in Manila, Joseph Plazo, argued that automation may have outpaced accountability.
His message was simple: speed must not replace strategy.
“AI can make correct decisions. But are they the right ones?”
???? **A Technologist’s Dilemma**
Mr. Plazo is not a critic from the fringe. His algorithms are widely used by institutional investors from Europe to East Asia.
But that success, he suggests, carries risk.
“Speed amplifies—not replaces—the need for reflection.”
He cited a case during the COVID-19 pandemic when a bot under his supervision flagged a short on gold—just before the US Federal Reserve announced an intervention.
“We cancelled the trade. The model had been right on signals, but wrong on substance.”
???? **Machines Act Quickly. Humans Are Meant to Think.**
Plazo referred to what he terms **“strategic friction”**—the time it takes to think before a trade.
“Speed without governance is simply exposure.”
He presented a framework his firm uses, called **Conviction Calculus**. It includes three questions:
- Are we trading in line with our long-term thesis—or merely responding to signals?
- Has the recommendation been challenged by human insight—policy awareness, historical precedent, market tone?
- Is the leadership team prepared to justify the trade beyond performance metrics?
???? **Governance in the Age of Machine Capital**
Plazo’s comments come at a time of accelerating fintech growth across Asia. From Singapore to Seoul, AI-led investing is seen as both policy strategy and capital advantage.
But as Mr. Plazo points out:
“Technology is advancing—but decision-making frameworks are not.”
In 2024, two hedge funds in Hong Kong lost billions after AI models failed to factor in geopolitical risk—a result of logic executed too quickly, and too narrowly.
“It was not error, but automation without skepticism.”
???? **AI That Understands More Than Market Signals**
Plazo remains bullish on AI’s potential—but not its current limitations.
His firm is building what he describes as **“narrative-integrated AI”**—systems that account for macro context, cultural tone, and regulatory environment, not just price and volume.
“We need models that don’t just predict—but interpret.”
Investors from Tokyo and Jakarta reportedly expressed interest in these models after the speech. One regional fund manager noted:
“If AI is to be sustainable, it must learn to say no—not just go faster.”
???? **The Final Warning: Crises May Be Logical, Not Emotional**
Plazo ended read more with a line that encapsulated his thesis:
“It won’t be chaos that brings us down—but confidence in models we don’t challenge.”
His tone was not alarmist, but realistic: growth must be governed.